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Month: January 2021

My Stock to Watch in 2021 is NCLH

Whos willing to take a bet on NCLH – Norwegian Cruise Lines?

Their stock is at a historical low ($25/share) when it usually costs around $55/60.

The problem is the COVID and “No Sail” orders.

Basically, the stock will continue to be low until we get signs of the travel restriction being lifted.

Q1: Can NCLH hold on long enough without going under? With no foreseen end.

Q2: Are you willing to risk throwing away that $$$ for a chance at a 2x or 3x return?

Q3: Are you willing to let that money sit for 4-5 years before seeing profit?

My head is saying yes, but my common sense is saying hold. I need help!

*I know absolutely nothing about stocks, so don’t take my advice on anything in regards to investing. Im just writing out my thoughts on NCLH and deciding if I should purchase now or hold my position.

COMMENT 1: “Id say it will be a low chance it will recover fully. People are no longer wanting to be crammed into confined spaces where sickness spreads. For a punt it may work, but from a technical view its not likely to see big returns”

RESPONSE 1: “I agree. I still think the number will jump back to at least $40 range when the no sail orders are lifted. With all the eager buyers and operations green light I’m sure people will eat up the stock while they can driving the price upwards.

The company has too many capital assets and inventory to not be successful. As soon as the no sail orders are lifted, it should immediately jump.

There’s no way it stays at $25. It’s really profit or bust in 5 years. All depends if they can stay afloat (no pun intended)”

COMMENT 2: “NCL will recover but not pre covid for years… most new bookings are not bookings at all… just rebooking from previous cancelations. Expect about 5 years to see a real profit.

Also… I believe cruising will start in other countries before the USA… CDC guidelines only operate in the USA… but the cruiselines can depart from other ports like Europe and start generating profits”

RESPONSE 2: “Yikes if the reports are showing rebookings, the return data could be skewed. I would think they get written off as a loss at the end of the year. Something else to look out for 👀

Why pay for market research?

Why pay to research?

I can do it myself

No one can research the way I research

I want to keep costs low

I can do it myself

Can you? Can you really?

Can you research your target customer on your own?

Identify who they are

How they buy

What they do as a hobby

How about their names?

(Too deep. Now we are talking about buyer personas)

You don’t need that kind of market research

You just have questions

Can a simple google search answer?

How long did it take to find that answer?

Can you explain what you found to your boss?

To your peers?

To a group of peers?

Maybe. But now you’re dreaming.

Times running out

You’re dreaming it, but not doing it

Maybe tomorrow

Repeat until you forget.

I Need to Create this Data Validation Concept

Yeah I neeeeeeeeed to learn Javascript. I understand a concept, but I have no idea how to build and implement.

COMPARE Number 1 on Two Different Documents (PDF, CSV, XML, etc)*Map DataIf Number 1 matches on both documents, then send data to system 1If Number 1 does not match both documents, do nothing and move to next entry.

COMPARE Number 2 on Both DocumentsIf Number 2 matches on both documents, then send data to system 1If Number 2 does not match both documents, do nothing and move to next entry.

COMPARE Data received in System 1If Number 1 is Unique, create entryIf Number 2 is Unique, create entryIf Number 1 is found to match Number 2, do not create entry. ERROR MSG

After entry is created, import remaining data from Original Two DocumentsCheck for duplicated data from import.If duplicate is found, flag as pending review.If duplicate is not found, do nothing.

Now I’ll have validated data that can be pushed to System 2

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